Suspected provocateur specifically stated, ‘We’re here to storm the capitol. I’m not kidding.’ In a new mini-documentary diving into Jan. 6, investigative journalist Lara Logan [more…]
U.S. Crude Inventories Fall 9.1 Million Barrels, Nearly Three Times Larger Than Expected
(NaturalNews) The American Petroleum Institute estimated that U.S. crude oil inventories fell by 9.1 million barrels in the week ending May 15, according to a repor…
Ex-prosecutor faces 20 YEARS in prison for allegedly stealing sealed docs from Smith probe labeled as dessert recipes
A former federal prosecutor is accused of illegally secreting confidential documents about the Trump administration from special counsel Jack Smith.
62-year-old Carmen Mercedes Lineberger is facing two felony charges for theft of the documents plus other charges in the government investigation.
Lineberger is not being detained and did not have to post any bond for release.
Lineberger allegedly emailed herself the documents and labeled the emails as cake recipes, according to prosecutors. She was working at the Fort Pierce branch of the United States Attorney’s Office for the Southern District of Florida.
The documents were under seal from the Smith investigation into the alleged mishandling of national security records by President Donald Trump and two co-defendants after his first term in office.
She entered a plea of not guilty on Wednesday.
One of the emails was allegedly labeled “chocolate cake recipe,” while another file was allegedly labeled “Bundt_Cake_Recipe.pdf.”
The second volume of Smith’s report had been sealed by federal Judge Aileen Cannon. Lineberger is accused of violating that order and taking steps to conceal her efforts.
She worked at the prosecutor’s office for almost two decades before retiring in December.
Lineberger is not being detained and did not have to post any bond for release.
Federal prosecutors said she could face up to 20 years in prison if convicted on one charge, three years for another, and one year for each of the two charges of document theft.
RELATED: District Judge Cannon issues ruling on fate of Trump adversary’s Biden-era special report
Cannon, a Trump appointee, ruled that the case should be tossed out because the appointment of Smith as special counsel was unconstitutional.
The Trump administration had argued in Oct. 2024 that the release of the special counsel’s report amounted to election interference.
“Radical Democrats are hell-bent on interfering in the presidential election on behalf of Lyin’ Kamala Harris,” said former campaign spokesman Steven Cheung at the time.
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Politics, Southern district of florida, Special counsel jack smith, Trump administration
Liz Wheeler: Spencer Pratt’s anti-establishment strategy is a winning one
Reality TV star Spencer Pratt may be running one of the most unconventional political campaigns in recent memory — and according to BlazeTV host Liz Wheeler, that’s exactly why it’s working.
“What Spencer Pratt is doing … I don’t think I’ve ever seen another politician do this,” Wheeler says, explaining that what he’s doing is “removing the stigma of voting Republican for Democrats in L.A. who’ve been hurt by Democrat elected officials.”
“This person’s home was burned down, and this is what he wants to do so that that never happens again. This person sees the financial corruption that’s happening in the city of Los Angeles at the hands of politicians and wants to give that money — that’s your money — back to you,” she says.
“This is next-level political strategy that we don’t see in our country,” she adds.
Wheeler calls Pratt’s strategy “instinct that is not just a gut reaction.”
“This is instinct that’s based on a pre-existing thorough understanding of human nature that you have to provide for people, in order for them to change their minds, the ability to save face,” she says.
Unlike most politicians, Pratt has also identified who the elites are and how he plans to stop them.
“He’s identified the elites: Karen Bass, Nithya Raman, Gavin Newsom. And he’s identified a problem that you are suffering from that was caused by these elites. And he’s saying he’s not running away from the fact that he’s wealthy. He was famous. He’s doing the same thing that Trump did,” Wheeler explains.
“He’s giving people who aren’t just natural Republicans permission to vote for him based on the fact that he’s not necessarily associating himself with the Republican brand,” she continues.
“Spencer Pratt is not trying to appeal to Republicans in Los Angeles. Republicans are already going to vote for Spencer Pratt. He’s trying to appeal to Democrats,” she adds.
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Karen bass, Liz wheeler, Los angeles, Political campaigns, Reality tv star, Republicans, Spencer pratt, The liz wheeler show, Blazetv, Blaze podcasts, Blaze media
School board member tells HS girl, ‘God, you’re hot,’ appears to touch her during meeting — now he’s charged with assault
A member of a Tennessee school board has been charged with assault in connection with an incident during a recent public meeting in which he referred to a female high school student as “hot” and appeared to touch her, WJHL-TV reported.
Keith Ervin of the the Washington County Schools Board of Education was seen on video appearing to touch a student seated next to him while making a sizzling noise before telling her, “God, you’re hot, you know that? … Where do you go to school at?”
‘Every board member has been concerned about her and how this has impacted her and will impact her.’
The student replied that she attends David Crockett High School, after which Ervin exclaimed, “All right!” WJHL noted.
The incident occurred during an April 2 school board meeting and can be seen on the school district’s YouTube page; the incident occurs just after the 1 hour and 16 minute mark.
WJHL said that following public outcry, the school board on April 8 voted to censure Ervin, and the Washington County Commission issued a vote of no confidence in Ervin on April 27.
Ervin also was censured in 2009 after reportedly making a lewd gesture of a sexual nature in front of a class at David Crockett High School, the station said.
Ervin, however, has insisted the clip recorded during the meeting showing his interaction with the student lacks context, and he has stated he only was complimenting the manner in which she had been asking questions during the meeting, the station said.
A charge of assault was filed Monday against Ervin, with a violation date of April 2, WJHL reported, citing court records.
Washington County Schools Superintendent Jerry Boyd provided the station with a statement from the school board acknowledging that its members are aware a simple assault charge has been filed against Ervin in relation to the incident.
“Board chair Annette Buchanan previously stated that Mr. Ervin’s comments and actions were ‘shocking’ and that he ‘objectified and diminished a young woman,'” the statement reads, according to WJHL. “The Board reiterates that Mr. Ervin’s actions do not reflect the standards, policies, or values of the school district. The Board remains committed to ensuring a safe, respectful, and appropriate environment for all students and staff.”
The station said the school board stated that it will defer to law enforcement and the judicial system regarding the charge against Ervin.
Boyd added to the station that “none of the burden placed on the board members or myself or any district member compares to probably what the individual student feels. So every board member has been concerned about her and how this has impacted her and will impact her. Every board member wishes her the best. And as I said, both her and any student or any staff member that needs some additional supports, we’ll be prepared and are prepared to provide whatever we can.”
The father of the student at the center of the April 2 incident said on social media that Ervin should not be “anywhere near students” and called the other board members’ lack of action amid the incident “equally disturbing,” WJHL noted.
The station added that on May 7, the student herself addressed the school board, including Ervin, and called the board members “cowards” and said Ervin’s actions were “not only unwelcome, but sexist and derogatory.”
Boyd added to WJHL that the board has no authority to take action or discipline an individual board member beyond what already has been done — and that Ervin, an elected official, cannot be dismissed.
Boyd also told the station that “certainly in any situation, you always reflect, you certainly consider what you could have done differently during the moment, but you also focus on what can you do now. And I know every board member has been in the process of reflecting and acting on how they need to improve our board meetings, what their responsibility is, and also what my role will be and how I can support that.”
He added to WJHL that as “a father of girls and as a superintendent and a lifelong educator, this is a situation none of us anticipated; the student definitely didn’t anticipate that she would be in that kind of situation in a formal board meeting and honestly, nobody else did, either. So we’re taking measures to be preventative in the future, including ensuring that our board members always maintain a certain level of professionalism.”
The station said it has reached out to Ervin for a response.
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Tennessee, Washington county schools, Board of education, Student, Keith ervin, Assault charge, Crime, School board meeting
Trump defends Chinese students in US colleges — and conservatives are confused
President Donald Trump surprised many of his own supporters during a recent interview with Sean Hannity when he defended the presence of Chinese students at American universities — arguing that removing them would devastate higher education in the United States.
“I could tell them I don’t want any students. It’s a very insulting thing to say to a country. They would then immediately go out and start building universities all over China,” Trump told Hannity.
“If you want to see a university system die, take a half a million people out of it,” he added.
BlazeTV host Pat Gray and executive producer Keith Malinak are among those supporters confused.
“We’re completely dependent on Chinese students,” Gray says in disbelief. “American universities would collapse without Chinese students. Come on.”
“What are you, Joe Biden? That’s something he would say. Or Barack Obama, not Donald Trump,” he adds.
“And so far,” executive producer Keith Malinak chimes in, “as the president is making his case, the two main points that he has offered to us is that it’s highly insulting and the schools might go bankrupt.”
“I’m not seeing the bigger picture here that the president is, clearly,” he adds.
“Clearly not true, for one thing,” Gray says.
“American universities will not collapse without 500,000 Chinese in them. That’s nonsense,” he continues. “This is a fairly new phenomenon to begin with. And secondly, 500,000 split between, what is it, 15,000 universities? How many do we have in the country? It’s not that many; you’re not going to lose that many students.”
Trump went on to claim that while the “top schools will do fine” without the influx of Chinese students, the “lower schools” would not be fine.
“I think it’s just the opposite of that,” Gray says. “It’s more like the Harvards and the Princetons that are going to do worse because how many Asian students are at those schools? They probably have the highest percentage.”
“They’re cutting back on their Asian students because they’ve got too many,” he adds.
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Joe biden, Pat gray, Pat gray unleashed, Sean hannity, Barack obama
DOJ asked to probe whether Biden officials let Microsoft off easy in exchange for cushy jobs
Former officials in the Biden administration have been credibly accused of letting a tech giant slide on preventable cybersecurity breaches only to later secure lucrative arrangements with or cushy jobs at the same corporation.
The American Accountability Foundation, a nonprofit government oversight and research organization, asked the Justice Department in a lengthy letter on Tuesday to open a formal investigation into Microsoft and several Biden officials.
‘We will act where the facts and the law support it.’
Among the Biden cronies singled out in the letter is Lisa Monaco, the former deputy attorney general whose post-government career move captured President Donald Trump’s attention in September 2025.
Trump wrote that “Corrupt and Totally Trump Deranged Lisa Monaco (A purported pawn of Legal Lightweight Andrew Weissmann)” had “been shockingly hired as the President of Global Affairs for Microsoft, in a very senior role with access to Highly Sensitive Information. Monaco’s having that kind of access is unacceptable, and cannot be allowed to stand. She is a menace to U.S. National Security, especially given the major contracts that Microsoft has with the United States Government.”
Monaco’s employment at Microsoft apparently also struck the team at AAF as potentially problematic.
The watchdog noted that Monaco — who had announced a cyber fraud initiative in 2021 aimed at using the False Claims Act against contractors who intentionally misrepresent cybersecurity risks — proved eager to bring actions against numerous companies and institutions, but never against Microsoft.
Monaco and the rest of the Biden administration’s inaction against Microsoft is especially strange because the company suffered five massive cyber intrusions by foreign criminal and state-sponsored hacker groups between 2019 and 2023 that directly and adversely impacted the U.S. government.
The AAF emphasized that these intrusions “penetrated the National Nuclear Security Administration and the Departments of Treasury, State, Commerce, and Justice, as well as the National Security Council and numerous other federal agencies” and “resulted in the theft of tens of thousands of government emails, including correspondence from the U.S. Ambassador to China, the Secretary of Commerce,” and other bigwigs.
Former President Joe Biden and Lisa Monaco. Ting Shen/Bloomberg/Getty Images
One of these cyber attacks, SolarWinds, reportedly relied on the exploitation of a flaw in Microsoft’s Active Directory Federation Services. The company was allegedly aware of the flaw for years but avoided patching it for fear of jeopardizing a multibillion-dollar federal cloud contract.
Former Microsoft President Brad Smith told Congress in 2021 that “there was no vulnerability in any Microsoft product or service that was exploited” in the SolarWinds attack.
While some Biden officials proved willing to assign Microsoft some blame, it was never too much or pursued as grounds for punitive action.
The Cyber Safety Review Board, an outfit established by former Homeland Security Secretary Alejandro Mayorkas, concluded that Storm-0558, a separate cyber attack executed by Beijing-linked hackers in May 2023, was enabled by a “cascade of Microsoft’s avoidable errors.”
Despite such recognition that it had dropped the ball, Microsoft managed to evade any meaningful reckoning.
“These facts, in our view, present squarely the kind of conduct that the Biden administration’s Civil Cyber-Fraud Initiative was created to address: knowing or reckless misrepresentations by a federal contractor regarding the cybersecurity of products sold to the government,” the American Accountability Foundation said in its letter. “Yet to our knowledge, no False Claims Act investigation of Microsoft’s conduct has ever been opened, while other contractors whose conduct appears materially less egregious have been pursued under the same initiative.”
Besides Monaco, the watchdog made a point of mentioning several other Biden administration officials, including:
Bryan Vorndran, a former assistant director of the FBI’s Cyber Division who served as the bureau’s representative on the Cyber Safety Review Board. Vorndran, who the AAF said was mysteriously recused from the board’s probe into the Storm-0558 attack, joined Microsoft in June 2025 as deputy chief information security officer.Jerry Davis, a member of the CSRB from 2022 to 2025 who participated in the board’s investigation of the Storm-0558 attack. Davis was hired as a chief security adviser at Microsoft three months after the CSRB released its report faulting the company for “inadequate” security culture.Robert Joyce, the former director of cybersecurity at the National Security Agency and an inaugural member of the CSRB. After leaving the NSA in 2024, he founded a cybersecurity firm that the AAF suggested counts Microsoft as one of its clients.
The AAF stressed that “federal ethics rules prohibit government officials from participating in matters in which they have a financial interest, and require cooling-off periods before certain officials may represent private parties before their former agencies.”
While the AAF did not “allege that any individual violated any specific law or regulation,” the watchdog noted that an investigation into the matter is warranted.
A Justice Department spokesperson told Breitbart, “The Department of Justice is committed to aggressively fighting fraud and protecting taxpayer dollars. We welcome referrals from anyone with credible information about fraud, and we will act where the facts and the law support it.”
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Technology, Microsoft, American accountability foundation, Justice department, Cybersecurity, Graft, Biden, Federal, Cover up, Politics
Top scammer of ‘Feeding Our Future’ fraud in Minnesota NAILED with painful sentence
The orchestrator of a massive $242 million fraud scheme in Minnesota was sentenced to nearly 42 years in prison on Thursday.
Aimee Bock, 45, was the founder and director of the Feeding Our Future nonprofit that promised to deliver meals to children and received hundreds of millions of dollars in pandemic relief money from the federal government.
‘This was a vortex of fraud, and you were at the epicenter.’
Bock was found guilty on all counts, including wire fraud, conspiracy, and bribery.
“I made mistakes, so many mistakes. If I could go back, I would do everything differently. I don’t have the words to express just how horrible I feel,” Bock said while crying to the court after receiving the sentence.
“This was a vortex of fraud, and you were at the epicenter,” U.S. District Judge Nancy Brasel said to Bock in court.
The investigation into the sprawling scam has led to more than 70 indictments and 60 convictions, many from the Somalian community.
Prosecutors said in a filing that the “brazen and staggering nature of her crimes has shaken Minnesota to its core, leaving lasting damage and eroding public trust.”
Republicans have accused officials in the deep-blue state of obstructing efforts to shut down the fraud. Minnesota Gov. Tim Walz (DFL) has denied the claims, but the furor led to his ending a re-election campaign for a third term.
In April, Walz tried to take credit for federal raids on numerous businesses in Minnesota accused of similar fraud schemes, but FBI Director Kash Patel mocked the claim.
“Come again? This FBI and DOJ with our DHS partners drafted and executed every search warrant today,” Patel wrote on social media. “But go ahead and take credit for our work while we smoke out the fraud plaguing Minnesota under your governorship.”
Minnesota state Rep. Kristin Robbins (R) also accused Democratic Rep. Ilhan Omar of Minnesota of aiding the scam.
RELATED: ‘Feeding Our Future’ scam artist agrees to plea deal with a slap-on-the-wrist sentence
After Omar failed to comply with a request from a Minnesota state oversight committee, Robbins accused her of refusing to answer difficult questions about previously passing a bill “that took the guardrails off the school nutrition program that led to the conditions that enabled Feeding Our Future.”
“Democrat Ilhan Omar has shown her disdain for the taxpayers. She believes she’s above answering for her role in the Feeding Our Future fraud,” Robbins wrote at the time. “We’ve sent her multiple letters and invites, but zero response from Ilhan Omar — what is she hiding?”
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Aimee bock, Feeding our future, Minnesota gov tim walz, Minnesota somali fraud, Politics
Mamdani gives ‘Mangionistas’ press passes after the fangirls celebrate CEO killing: ‘His children are better off without him’
Zohran Mamdani’s office has made it clear that it’s all about free speech, especially when it comes to the Luigi Mangione fangirl group the “Mangionistas.”
Mamdani’s office granted press passes to Abril Rios, Ashley Rojas, and Lena Weissbrot, who cheered on the alleged murderer outside the courthouse — and had some choice words for UnitedHealthcare CEO Brian Thompson.
“His children are better off without him,” one of the Mangionistas said. “They need to learn to not be like their dad.”
“I’m standing on business,” another one said. “F**k Brian Thompson. I don’t give a flying f**k. Millions of Americans suffer every single day.”
“If you guys are OK with someone like Brian Thompson being around and being a part of our society, that says more about you as a person because you look absolutely monstrous defending someone like that,” she added.
“I’m pissed off about this, Dave,” BlazeTV host Stu Burguiere tells co-host Dave Landau on “Stu and Dave Do America.”
“They say they don’t care about this guy dying because they think the children are better off without him,” Stu says.
“Here’s what I don’t get,” Dave chimes in, saying that the “Mangionistas” who “want you to go kill a CEO of a health care company” are the “same people that want you to believe everything that a drug company tells you.”
“Wear a mask and lockstep to every single thing you were told during COVID. So explain that. Like that’s the part I don’t understand. You’re the reason every business shut down, because you believed every single thing that they had to say,” he says.
“But then you’re also on the side of the moron who came from a very, very rich family, and you’re completely OK with that,” he adds.
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Brian thompson, Luigi mangione, Mangionistas, Stu and dave do america, Zohran mamdani
Curious about prediction markets? Stu Burguiere shows you the ropes.
Prediction markets have been harshly criticized over claims of insider trading and illegal gambling practices, leading to politicians and media demonizing them wholesale. Are their warnings symptoms of a growing problem in dire need of recourse, or is it all part of a smear campaign meant to wrest political power away from the people? Today, we dispel the myths of these “dangerous” prediction markets, highlight the differences between the top trading apps, and gain some powerful insights from our very own Stu Burguiere.
What is a prediction market?
A prediction market is a system that allows users to trade shares on the outcomes of specific events. In the words of the Commodity Futures Trading Commission, “Prediction markets offer a variety of products designed to help the public forecast, plan for, hedge, and even harness perceptions of future events.”
‘When I take a position, I assume I’m going to hold it until resolution.’
Although today’s prediction markets revolve heavily around politics and sports, the first markets centered on something a little less glamorous — agriculture. The Grain Futures Administration of 1922 was a regulatory commission tasked with combating fraud among grain traders. Their efforts were so effective that, by the 1930s, the commission expanded into other products and industries. Under a new name, the Commodity Exchange Administration oversaw markets that regulated cotton, eggs, rice, butter, metals, energy, and more. Finally, in 1974, Congress passed the Commodity Futures Trading Commission Act, which created the Commodity Futures Trading Commission that oversees prediction markets to this day.
The important thing to keep in mind is that prediction markets are nothing new — they’ve been around for a century! However, an increase in online accessibility and notoriety has landed these legal trading platforms in hot water.
Why prediction markets are “dangerous”
If you spend any time online, you’ll see how prediction markets are vilified by everyone from politicians to the media. Most of them claim the same thing — prediction markets are a form of online gambling, a practice that isn’t legal on a federal level. In fact, some states, like Arizona, are suing popular prediction market apps, accusing them of illegal betting practices.
The New York Times even called prediction markets “dangerous,” noting that “prediction machines have become infrastructure for the legitimacy of event outcomes, no matter how outlandish.” In other words, prediction markets have the power to reveal truths and trends outside the media’s control, making them a direct threat to the left-wing media machine.
According to the chairman of the CFTC, Michael S. Selig, prediction markets exist as a way to combat the fake news, stories, and narratives of the media. Instead of relying on talking heads to tell their audience how they should feel about a particular event, users log on to their favorite prediction market app and vote on an event’s outcome based on their own knowledge and deductive reasoning. Since users are discouraged from voting in favor of outcomes they believe to be a lie, prediction markets reveal societal truths backed by real money, giving facts more weight than misinformation with an honesty incentive at the end.
Both left-wing media and politicians, like Arizona’s Democrat Attorney General Kris Mayes, hate prediction markets because they take narrative power away from the elite and put it back into the hands of the people. As for the warnings of illegal gambling? That’s a lie. The CFTC classifies prediction markets as financial products similar to stocks traded on the stock exchange, which are completely legal and regulated by the federal government.
RELATED: Prediction markets let you ‘bet’ in states where gambling is banned: Here’s how
Ethan Miller/Getty Images
Top prediction market apps
Thanks to prediction market apps, the markets themselves are easier to access than ever. Two apps in particular dominate the App Store and Google Play: Polymarket and Kalshi.
Polymarket is a sports-first trading app with robust stats on the MLB, NBA, NHL, golf, and more. It also offers a section for politics and weather, with more categories on the way, but if you’re a sports fanatic, Polymarket is a great place to start.
Kalshi offers a much broader range of trading options. From sports to politics to crypto, culture, and more, Kalshi’s rounded trading portfolio makes trading much more accessible for new and seasoned users who prefer more variety.
Since both apps are financial products, you will need to provide some personal information to create your account — this can include your first and last name, date of birth, phone number, home address, your Social Security number, a form of government ID (either a driver’s license or a passport), and a current selfie for verification.
Remember that prediction markets are subject to the same ethics and government regulations as the stock market. That means all trades are subject to government scrutiny, and insider trading laws do apply.
Make markets ‘Predictable with Stu Burguiere’
To get a better understanding of prediction markets and how they work, we chatted with BlazeTV resident expert Stu Burguiere. Here’s what he had to say:
Q: What are the big differences between the prediction market platforms? Are there any benefits to choosing one platform over another (taking into account the UI, trade options, trading fees, etc.)?
A: I think it’s beneficial for the ecosystem to have many different approaches. Kalshi is the best known in the U.S., they started here as a fully regulated platform in 2021. I was using the platform within their first few weeks of existence, but they didn’t get election markets until 2024 after suing the government and winning.
Polymarket took a more crypto-forward approach and mostly remained overseas in a bit of a gray area for U.S. users. They have since launched Polymarket U.S. but have only recently expanded beyond sports.
PredictIt has been around much longer but was limited in the amount you could invest in any contract until recently. Their fees have been a famous sticking point among the nerd community, of which I am a member.
There are also several other smaller players and rumors of up to a couple of dozen new prediction markets on the way. Some of these will likely partner with deep-pocketed companies and attempt to challenge the big boys.
Q: What are the pros or cons of using multiple prediction market apps?
A: If you’re a serious trader or someone investing a lot of money in this area, it is probably worth being on multiple apps and sites. Even markets with high liquidity will sometimes have differences in price by a few percentage points, and there’s little downside in chasing the best price. You also will find instances where a nearly identical-looking contract has preferable rules on one site over another.
It can get confusing to keep track of everything, but if you’re looking at this as part of a real money portfolio, it’s worth it to look for these advantages.
But for someone just getting started, I wouldn’t sweat it.
Q: Which app provides the best trading data to make a sound decision, set expectations, etc.?
A: I think you can find the information you need to trade pretty easily on most, if not all, of the various markets once you get comfortable. I wouldn’t say any of them are the places where you’re doing research, though. The most important part is to always read the rules because the headline question is occasionally more complicated than you think.
Q: Are there any delays in depositing money to trade or receiving money after a trade is complete?
A: I find it to be about as easy as funding any investment account. Kalshi, for example, offers no-fee bank transfers in one to three days, almost instant crypto transfers, and even Venmo, CashApp, Google Pay, PayPal (fees vary), and traditional bank wire transfer. Maybe even carrier pigeon.
You won’t be surprised to hear they make it very easy for you to deposit your money! But I have also never had an issue at all withdrawing funds from any of them.
If you’ve never dabbled in crypto, the overseas Polymarket exchange can be a little intimidating. The U.S. version seems to be more manageable for the average person.
Q: Are there any missing features between the mobile and desktop web versions of Kalshi and Polymarket?
A: I prefer desktop for anything complicated. It’s pretty easy to make basic trades on the apps or to see how your investments are performing. When you are looking back at your history, you’re going to want the desktop, unless you have a fetish for scrolling and clicking “more” over and over again.
Q: Is there any risk of “wash trading” or manipulation where users can sway the stock in favor of a certain outcome?
A: I don’t think manipulation presents much risk overall, especially with the current market liquidity. There are people much smarter than me trading thousands of times a week, and that’s part of the deal. But that’s not how I go about it. When I take a position, I assume I’m going to hold it until resolution. If you take that approach, it doesn’t really matter where the markets move on a day-to-day basis. In the end, you’re either going to be right or wrong, and no market actor can change that.
Q: How serious are the “illegal gambling” lawsuits, and what are platform holders like Kalshi and Polymarket doing to push back against this narrative?
A: As with any innovation, there are plenty of annoying government officials trying to screw it up. Throw in a hefty dose of established actors looking to protect their turf against competition, and the threat is serious in scope if not in argument.
Luckily, for the time being, we have Michael Selig as CFTC chair, and an administration friendly to financial innovation. Selig has correctly been aggressive in defending the authority of the CFTC to maintain oversight over these markets. Just like your state can’t ban you from buying Walmart stock, they shouldn’t be able to stop you from participating in prediction markets.
This could all change under a different Congress or a President AOC, but we can deal with that level of hell when we arrive in it.
Q: How do prediction markets handle ties? Do these come up often or rarely?
A: I would say a tie is very rare. Most of the rules are written to make them impossible. In the old days, there were sometimes markets with poorly written rules or descriptions that led to controversy. This isn’t particularly common anymore, but it does occasionally happen.
There was a recent example revolving around the removal of the leader of Iran. Kalshi is legally prohibited from listing or paying a contract that is the result of death or assassination. This was clear in the rules, but a lot of people don’t read them. So there was controversy over the required unwinding of that contract, and some overseas markets without those restrictions resolved the contract in a totally different way.
Those rare examples get lots of press but occur in a tiny percentage of the markets available. Most people will never even experience one of them.
Q: Do you have any tips, tricks, or advice for new users who are just starting to get into prediction markets?
A: Start small and assume you’re wrong more often than you think you are. Challenge yourself on your priors, and especially in politics, make sure you’re not investing with your heart. I always feel better investing in a race when I’m on the side of the candidate I want to lose. At the very least, if I’m wrong, I’m happy with the outcome in real life. And if the candidate I dislike winds up winning, at least I’m being paid for my pain. It’s hedging your life.
Oh yeah, and hang out with us at PredictableShow.com.
Tune in
Still curious about prediction markets? Maybe you want to throw some of your own cash on a current event, but you’re not sure how to get started? Check out Stu’s new show — “Predictable with Stu Burguiere” on YouTube and Substack — for the latest prediction market news, updates, insights, and more.
Tech, Prediction markets, Stu burguiere, Cftc, Polymarket, Kalshi
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Foreign aid should offer resources, not liberal ideology
When news breaks that foreign aid programs are being paused or restructured, many Christians understandably fear the world’s most vulnerable will be left behind.
It is a fair concern. But it also raises a harder question: What if some of what we have called “help” was not helping in the way we thought?
The recent restructuring of foreign aid creates an opportunity. It allows the United States to reconsider not only how much it gives, but how it gives.
Imposed values
For decades, American foreign assistance has done real good in many places. But too often it has also come with expectations that placed struggling nations in an impossible position. Funding was tied to adopting policies on family life, sexuality, and bioethics that did not reflect the values of the communities receiving that aid. Governments that resisted those conditions risked losing support their people depended on.
From a Christian perspective, that should give us pause. Care for the poor is a moral calling. But care that requires communities to compromise their deepest convictions is not compassion. It is pressure, even if it is delivered in the language of progress.
Scripture calls us to love our neighbor, not to remake our neighbor in our own image.
Pursuing the good
That is why the Geneva Consensus Declaration matters. Today, 41 nations representing more than 2.5 billion people have joined this coalition, affirming that international law does not establish a universal right to abortion and that each country has the authority to determine its own laws on life and family.
These nations were not forced into agreement. Many joined because they were weary of outside institutions attempting to impose agenda-driven frameworks through funding conditions and international pressure. What they were seeking was not isolation, but partnership. They wanted to be treated not as projects to be managed, but as nations capable of shaping their own future.
This reflects a principle Christians should recognize. Human dignity includes moral agency. It includes the freedom of communities to pursue the good, before God, without coercion from more powerful actors.
RELATED: New book from Eric Metaxas shares the American Revolution’s forgotten Christian roots
ericmetaxas.com
The Protego framework
There is also a practical reality the United States cannot ignore. Countries like China are expanding their influence across Africa and Latin America by offering infrastructure and investment with fewer visible conditions. America’s advantage lies in offering something China cannot: genuine partnership that respects the nations it serves.
In practice, that means moving from a model of control to a model of partnership.
At the Institute for Women’s Health, we have sought to do this through what we call the Protego framework. Instead of arriving with predesigned solutions, we work alongside national leaders, faith communities, and local institutions to build programs that reflect the values and needs of each country.
In one African nation, this has meant developing a national framework for health and life-skills education with input from across society, including interfaith leaders. It is designed to reach tens of thousands of educators and health workers. The program belongs to that nation. The values behind it are its own. And when the partnership ends, the capacity to sustain it will remain.
This kind of work is slower. It requires listening, humility, and trust. But it reflects something essential to a Christian understanding of service.
Human flourishing
We are not called simply to deliver outcomes. We are called to serve people as people, not as instruments of our own priorities.
Faithful foreign engagement takes seriously the dignity of every nation and every community. It refuses to make care for the vulnerable conditional on ideological agreement. It invests in what supports human flourishing, strong families, healthy communities, and the well-being of women and children, while ensuring that these efforts are shaped locally rather than imposed from outside.
The recent restructuring of foreign aid creates an opportunity. It allows the United States to reconsider not only how much it gives, but how it gives.
For Christians, the goal should not be to defend every existing program. It should be to ensure that our engagement reflects the character of the One we serve. We are called to help the vulnerable. But faithful service cannot be separated from humility, respect, and truth about the human person.
Africa, China, Christianity, Christians, Culture, Family life, Geneva consensus declaration, Latin america, Protego framework, Sexuality, Institute for womens health, Pro-life, Abortion, Lgbtq, Faith
Female Christian kindergarten teacher pleads guilty to child seduction; court docs reveal she had sex with girl in church
A former Christian school teacher in Indiana has learned her fate after pleading guilty to child sex crimes with a student, according to court records.
Torrie Lemon, 24, pleaded guilty to felony child seduction in Hamilton County last Thursday, according to WTHR-TV.
‘It started with hugs, then longer hugs, then kissing, and then sexual acts.’
Lemon was sentenced to 40 days in prison and nearly four years of probation.
Law enforcement launched an investigation in April 2025.
Lemon — who taught at Colonial Christian School, which includes pre-kindergarten through 12th-grade students and is located on the north side of Indianapolis — was accused of having sex with a student while she was a chaperone on a school trip to South Carolina.
Citing court documents, WXIN-TV said a friend of the victim reportedly borrowed the victim’s phone and found sexual text messages between Lemon and the victim — and the friend told a teacher.
The IndyStar obtained court documents saying a student informed a teacher after finding a video on the victim’s phone of Lemon and the victim kissing.
Court docs said the teacher confiscated the student’s phone, informed the victim’s parents, and filed a report with the Indiana Department of Child Services as well as with police in South Carolina.
The victim told an officer with the Greenville Police Department that she was “in a relationship” with Lemon, according to court documents.
Lemon informed a Greenville officer that she “was having an inappropriate relationship with a student from her school” for a few months, court records stated.
Court documents added that school officials immediately sent Lemon home from the South Carolina trip, and the parents of the victim picked up the victim.
On April 14, a detective with the Indianapolis Metropolitan Police Department interviewed the victim.
The student said she started texting and hanging out with Lemon in January 2025 as friends, but the messages “quickly began turning sexual,” WXIN reported.
The student told police she never intended their relationship to turn sexual since “she knew it was wrong,” but the pair did have sexual relations in March 2025, according to court documents the IndyStar obtained.
The IndyStar reported that the detective also learned that the two “had sex at Lemon’s on-campus apartment, in a church, and at the student’s house.”
The student’s mother told a detective she considered Lemon a “family friend,” and the family allowed Lemon to stay at their house on several occasions after she moved to Indiana from New Hampshire, according to court records.
Court documents also indicated that the student’s father said his daughter began talking about age of consent laws in Indiana after the two met.
‘I love you more than I can describe.’
The mother told authorities that her daughter and Lemon “quickly” developed a friendship over a few months, court documents stated.
Court records also show that the mother discovered text messages between Lemon and her daughter that read “I can’t wait to see you,” and “I saw you across the room and wanted to give you a hug.”
According to court documents, the mother confronted Lemon, who told the mother nothing inappropriate was happening.
The mother was “upset” after sexual misconduct accusations surfaced, court docs said.
Court records also said detectives examined the daughter’s cell phone for evidence, but most of the text messages between the student and teacher had been permanently deleted.
The digital forensics unit of the Indianapolis Metropolitan Police Department could not recover most of the deleted data from the student’s phone, but the unit did recover some communications between the pair, according to court documents.
The IndyStar reported that some of the messages read, “Thank you for an amazing night and morning,” and “I love you more than I can describe.”
Lemon was fired from her teaching position in June 2025, WXIN reported.
In Lemon’s exit interview with the school’s principal, she confessed to having an inappropriate relationship with a student and said that “it started with hugs, then longer hugs, then kissing, and then sexual acts,” according to the IndyStar.
WXIN reported that the victim said they “started out as just friends,” but that she and Lemon “began making sexual jokes and talking about attraction to women.”
Court docs say the victim told investigators that she and Lemon “wanted it to just be a friendship” because they knew a sexual relationship “went against their beliefs as Christians, and it was also against the law.”
According to court documents, the 17-year-old girl told police that Lemon kissed her during a school trip to Wabash, Indiana.
WXIN reported:
The victim then said she and Lemon began touching each other sexually while hanging out in March at her parents’ house. This reportedly escalated, with the victim regularly visiting Lemon’s apartment — located on Colonial Christian School grounds — to have sex.
Lemon was arrested in Hamilton County in June 2025 and pleaded guilty to felony child seduction.
Lemon also was hit with two additional counts of child seduction tied to the same investigation in Marion County, according to WXIN.
WXIN reported that Lemon was booked into Marion County Jail on Nov. 9, 2025, and released the same day after posting a $15,000 surety bond.
Lemon is set to appear Friday in a Marion County court where she is set to be sentenced after a change of plea hearing, WXIN added.
Neither the Marion County Prosecutor’s Office, the Indianapolis Metropolitan Police Department, nor Colonial Christian School immediately responded to Blaze News‘ requests for comment.
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Torrie lemon, Child sex abuse, Crime, Indiana, Christian school, Teacher
Foreigners who hate each other, disrespect women are creating serious problems for the Canadian military
David McGuinty, Canada’s liberal defense minister, boasted late last month that the DEI-ed Canadian military had surpassed its regular force recruiting target for the second consecutive year, enrolling 7,310 new members in fiscal year 2025-26. That brings the total of full-time military members to 67,827. Another 25,054 souls are in the reserves.
“The Canadian Armed Forces’ continued recruiting success signals more than progress — it reflects a renewed strength at the core of our military,” said McGuinty.
‘I think we are representative of the Canadian demographic.’
What McGuinty neglected to mention in his optimistic press release was that nearly 20% of these recruits aren’t actually Canadians, thanks to a 2022 decision by then-Trudeau Defense Minister Anita Anand — the daughter of Indian migrants — to drop the military’s citizenship requirement.
It has become abundantly clear that having multitudes of permanent residents from the third world join up in exchange for expedited naturalization isn’t so much a value added as a massive liability.
A damning and confidential Canadian Forces Leadership and Recruit School report that was authored by Lieutenant-Colonel Marc Kieley and obtained both by Juno News and the National Post highlights some of the various problems foreign recruits have created for the military.
RELATED: US calls Canada’s bluff on defense spending; ‘pauses’ 86-year-old alliance
Creative Touch Imaging Ltd./NurPhoto/Getty Images
The report, which was also leaked online, notes that in Quebec’s first noncitizen Francophone platoon, only 48% managed to graduate and there were constant ethnic clashes, specifically between the Cameroonian and Ivory Coast candidates.
More generally, noncitizen recruits in the Canadian military — some of whom had been in the country for only three months — have demonstrated a profound lack of “respect toward women” superiors and peers.
“For many candidates, it is the first time they have lived with members of a different sex, and for some it is also the first time they have been expected to treat women as their peers,” said the report. “Platoons are also reporting inter-candidate cultural frustrations, with lack of respect towards women being the most common concern.”
Some foreigners apparently also have issues taking orders from younger superiors.
“Older candidates from certain cultural backgrounds are also more likely to experience friction when responding to younger CFLRS instructors due to cultural hierarchies based on age,” said the confidential report.
In addition to a failure of baseline competency, ethnic infighting, communication issues, and a rampant disrespect for women and junior officers, foreigners also have unrealistic expectations going into their training.
The report noted, for instance, that a “surprising number of permanent resident candidates believed they would simply go home after basic training” and that foreigners in officer training “are more likely to imagine a CAF officer position as a public service job, rather than a military occupation.”
Physical fitness is also an issue for those recruits McGuinty is hoping will renew the Canadian military’s strength. Permanent residents failed the initial basic training fitness screening test last year at a rate of 14.79% compared to 7.89% for citizens within the same period.
There has been some internal pushback.
According to the report, “On French (officer) platoons, where permanent residents have made up 50%-80% of all candidates, there have been more emotional responses, with Francophone staff openly raising the question of whether it is appropriate for officer commissions to be granted to non-Canadian citizens.”
Commodore Pascal Belhumeur, a spokesman for the Canadian Department of National Defense, told the National Post, “I think the Canadian Armed Forces that we are recruiting is a representation of Canadian society now.”
According to Statistics Canada, 23% of the persons presently in Canada are immigrants.
“If you look at the number of Canadians that are foreign-born and the number of people who we’re bringing into the Canadian Armed Forces, I think we are representative of the Canadian demographic,” said Belhumeur, adding that the military is “proud to reflect the diversity of Canadian society.”
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Canada, Canadian, Dei, Diversity, Foreigners, Immigrants, Military, Recruitment, Woke, Politics
Die-hard Trump supporter in San Diego ‘fighting for his life’ after an apparently violent confrontation
Perhaps the most outspoken supporter of President Donald Trump and the MAGA movement in San Diego was seriously injured after what the California Post called a “brutal attack” outside the man’s infamous “Trump House.”
Around 2:15 p.m. on Wednesday, Escondido police arrived on the scene to find a man with severe injuries lying on the ground while a utility worker reportedly restrained another individual.
‘Whenever I went to visit, I made sure to swing by that place and shout stuff at them.’
The injured man was rushed to a nearby trauma center in what is believed to be critical condition. The Post did not identify the injured victim but indicated he is the owner of the “Trump House” on Buchanan Street and that he is “fighting for his life.”
According to the Post, blood could be seen dripping from the curb near the home, and one suspect was arrested.
Escondido Police Department Lt. Robert Craig confirmed that the department had responded to a report of an assault, that one suspect is in custody, and that the “investigation is still ongoing,” the San Diego Union-Tribune reported.
RELATED: Judge APOLOGIZES to suspected would-be Trump assassin — and compares him to Jan. 6 defendants
For years, the notorious Escondido residence has been covered with pro-Trump, pro-MAGA, and pro-America paraphernalia, including flags, signs, and red, white, and blue colors, an ostentatious political display that has generated feelings of animosity among other residents.
According to the Post, one online commenter said of the “Trump House,” “My buddy lived down the street from him. Whenever I went to visit, I made sure to swing by that place and shout stuff at them.”
Another called for the owner to be reported to authorities for allegedly violating state election laws. “Any neighbor can complain to the city. No campaign flags or signs are allowed more than 90 days from an election,” the person said. “California state law. Please file a complaint. The more the better.”
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California, Donald trump, Maga, Politics
It’s high time to unlock Americans’ phones
Can populism and optimism mix? These days, the contentious AI debate is fueling the false impression that the answer is no. But recent polling convincingly shows that there’s one important tech issue on which an overwhelming majority of Americans support an empowering, freedom-enhancing change: unlocking mobile phones.
In comparison to the titanic struggle over things like data centers, the simple act of requiring providers to let consumers take their cell phones with them — without penalties or fees — might, at first glance, seem like small ball. Take a moment to look at the numbers, however, and the truth is revealed.
In the shorter term, unlocking the nation’s phones unlocks potentially life-changing savings for most Americans. In the longer term, the move helps establish a crucial baseline for applying pro-freedom, pro-ownership device policy to the myriad next-gen devices — even more powerful than smartphones — soon to fill up our everyday lives.
The momentum for change isn’t confined to consumers crying out for relief.
Start with the polls. A startling nine in 10 consumers, regardless of partisan affiliation, support the right to take their phones with them when changing service producers. But the real stunner is why.
More than a mere preference (who wouldn’t default toward more choice?), consumers are highlighting a hidden pain point that hasn’t seemed to catch the eye of analysts without much to worry about at the kitchen table. Phone locking doesn’t just block customers — and today, who isn’t a smartphone customer? — from taking their phones with them. It blocks them from shopping freely for better, more affordable deals.
We’re not talking couch-change savings here. Switching plans can save thousands. In a household with just two phone lines, a savvy switch cashes out to as much as $1,200 per year, according to the Internet and Television Association.
And for most families, of course, two smartphones are table stakes. A Consumer Affairs report shows the typical household has an average of around 20 connected devices. Almost all children receive their own phones by age 15. Most Americans ages 18 to 29 live in a household with three or more phones. Consumer research from WhistleOut concludes a truer estimate of household cost savings from unlocking consumer phones is closer to $2,000 a year — and as high as $2,200.
Saving enough to save a life
Let’s pause to emphasize what that means in real-world terms. For average American households, $2,000 represents 2.5% of their annual budget — fully one-third of their monthly budget, roughly equal to their entire average housing cost per month. Meanwhile, fewer than half of U.S. households have the cash or savings to cover a $2,000 emergency expense, according to household economics and decision-making data from the Federal Reserve.
The savings unlocked by the simple regulatory act of unlocking smartphones aren’t chump change. They’re enough to change lives — or save them.
And it doesn’t stop there. Locked phones are a rip-off when it comes to resale value, dinging sellers 20% to 40% of their value compared to the same phone unlocked. That’s around $125 to $150 in lost value for the seller of a locked iPhone likely to sell today. If the seller can’t unlock the phone, he’ll have to consider buying a new one earlier than desired, adding hundreds more to costs.
Calculating conservatively, the total cost phone locking imposed on American households pencils out to around $2,400 or higher — more than they pay monthly on average for housing and over twice their monthly outlay on transportation, according to Bureau of Labor Statistics surveys.
RELATED: Social media scams are up 700%. Here’s how to stay safe.
Media Trading Ltd/Getty Images
Not a pretty picture. And little excuse. The good news is that the momentum for change isn’t confined to consumers crying out for relief. Led by Sen. Cynthia Lummis (R-Wyo.), key senators are throwing their political weight behind the idea and asking the FCC to unlock our phones.
Although phone lock reform has been held back in the past by valid fraud concerns, as Lummis and her co-signers write in a recent letter to FCC Chairman Brendan Carr, they’re “confident … that the Commission will be able to appropriately balance those concerns by adopting a reasonable waiting period — e.g., 180 days – before a device must be unlocked. Such a period addresses concerns of fraud while still achieving the important objectives that unlocking delivers, including expanding consumer choice, preserving competition, and improving affordability.”
All in all, it’s a slam-dunk policy shift — the kind of low-hanging fruit that easily delivers outsized and long-overdue relief for millions.
Today our phones, tomorrow our bots?
But to bring us back to the bigger picture of transformative technological change in America, unlock reform is more than a one-and-done change. It’s a crucial marker laid down just in time to help set the tone for a freedom-forward, pro-ownership approach to the next-gen devices about to proliferate across American business and private life — drones, robots, the works. In all likelihood, these devices will fall under the purview of the Federal Trade Commission, not the FCC, but, taken together, the principled logic behind mobile unlocking and the FTC’s work preventing smart-home device bricking and forced ecosystem lock-in shows a clear and powerful synergy. Together, the commissions can and should advance a strategic populist policy of ensuring that producers’ software restrictions don’t limit consumers’ physical ownership rights.
At this critical juncture, unlocking the phones is the next step in tech policymaking that preserves American rights while saving Americans money. What could be more American than that?
Opinion & analysis, Mobile phone, Fcc, Ftc, Populism, Artificial intelligence, Ownership, Cynthia lummis, Regulation
